Being mature means understanding that not every card is going to make it to UFC 300. Still, Saturday's slate has a full set of games for prospective bettors and their DFS players to choose from to profit. We'll break down each of the 13 fights, including late substitutes who may surprise as big losers, and action fighters who live up to more than a knockout. Our betting lines are taken from the RotoWire MMA betting page and are accurate as of the date of this article's posting.
Plays to consider at DraftKings
A short-notice replacement who lost six games on the regional stage is generally not an ideal DraftKings pick, but Padilla's constant pressure and desire to wrestle will help James Lontop's counterattack. It should work well against the desire to fight in the clinch. Considering that only half of his 14 wins have been KO/TKO wins, I don't think “Goku” will be able to consistently finish at this level, and there are far more successful fighters than “Tako” at this price. is attractive.
The reasoning applied above can be used to argue for Na Liang, but the Chinese fighter is a known quantity, and what we saw was a very chaotic grappler, and she 2 bells are often barely answered. Petrovic should be able to control this fight in all phases, as he has a significant strength disadvantage here. Although the activity is always promising, Na cannot sustain attacks for long and is not very good as a finisher. This forces me to side with Petrovic, who is likely to score big once the storm passes.
David Onama's balanced skillset is worth a look whenever he's the underdog, but his takedown defense is only 45 percent, so he's a strong grappler and a committed submission threat. Doesn't bode well for a fight with Pierce. Pearce was so confident against Joan Delson Brito that he ended up getting egged on his face, but Onama had never shown this much ability on the ground, which allowed Pearce to shoot from close range. We should be in complete control of this match.
I consider Hubbard and Michal Firak to be similar fighters as they are both volume boxers with good footwork. However, Hubbard is a little better all around as he is more athletic and is a solid wrestler and submission grappler. Firak also wrestles, but it seems like he does it out of necessity rather than a skill he can use to take over fights. Hubbard floats well at the top and has a lot of experience, so he should have an advantage here.
Souza couldn't do much against a top-notch submission grappler in Karine Silva, but Marnik Mann just doesn't have the style to compete at this level. Sloppy throw. It doesn't take long for Souza to realize that she can win this exchange with little risk, as she can grapple if necessary and her man often puts her in a 50/50 position. It shouldn't take.
Silva is more of an opportunistic submission hunter than a takedown artist, but the Brazilian fighter has scored one takedown in each of his three submission wins inside the Octagon. Although his ability to stay upright has improved, Ariane Lipsky has at least two or three takedowns in his UFC career and should have little role as a “killer” when a fight begins.
Plays to consider in prize selection – Critical Strikes
Haiisaa Maheshate 35.5+ significant strikes, Caio Machado 69.5+ significant strikes, Jonata Dinis 16.5+ significant strikes.
Maheshate has yet to find a viable long-term opponent in the UFC, but Gabriel Benitez likes to ride his bike and pick off opponents from range, so he might be right in the Goldilocks zone. do not have. 'Mowgli' has always had trouble with opponents who put pressure on him, but Maheshate is not a devastating puncher. This would allow for his three round match of kickboxing, and would see enough strikes to cover the total.
“High-volume heavyweight” sounds like an oxymoron, but Machado may be just that kind of fighter, as he lands over 6.5 strikes per minute in UFC (and UFC-adjacent) matches. do not have. Don Tail Mays is an athletic kickboxer who might try an awkward grapple here and there to slow the pace, but these two should trade shots for the better part of 15 minutes.
The same can't be said for Austin Lane, who was almost certainly only brought in as a walk-through opponent against Greg Hardy on the Contender Series. For some reason, he remains on the roster long after Hardy leaves, but the former NFL player has a wide ability to absorb shots, so this should be his farewell. Dinis is a dedicated finisher who swarms his opponent with attacks, leaving little room for Lane to maneuver. As much as I like this as a strike under, players at DraftKings should keep an eye on the Brazilian to see if he can finish the game in under 60 seconds and earn a bonus. .
Plays to consider when choosing prizes – Fight Time
Victor Henry played less than 14.75 minutes, Mateusz Nicolau played more than 20.5 minutes.
If the clash of styles here doesn't turn into a quick battle, you could struggle early on. Henry is one of the most prolific fighters in the division, landing a whopping 8.3 strikes per minute. Lani Yahya, on the other hand, looks like a typical older veteran specialist, as he was knocked out in less than two minutes by Montel Jackson last April. This will make Yahya shoot even harder than usual. The Brazilian still has enough ability to pull off a successful submission on the ground, but if he can't, Henry sends him off after running out of gas tank to take the fight to the ground. I predict that it will. Either way, I think it's generous to think that the 39-year-old Styles can support three rounds at this point in his career.
Before he was sidelined with injury, Alex Perez had a knack for putting himself in bad positions and ending up in the wrong position. Regardless, the former title challenger fought Muhamad Mokaev, and he kept scrambling, landed some hard shots, and gave a decent account of himself. Nicolaou has always worked at a slow pace, while Perez has only been knocked out once in his 32-fight career, with a sore jaw. This fight should be a long-range affair, leaving plenty of time for the underprop.
Bets to consider
Guskov's hectic style has had mixed results in the Octagon, but all that pressure and power should work against Ryan Spann, who was never able to shake his interim record in the Octagon. If I could trust 'Superman' wrestling, I'd be more wary of this play, but Spann has only secured one takedown in his past six matches, so he'll have to deal with a swarm of opponents. It means that there is.
Uros Medic wins by KO/TKO (-109)
Means' skilled boxing and aggression could still make him dangerous against the right opponent, but it's hard to believe that that opponent is a medic. Medic will be a much more athletic fighter with a much more active kicking game. Means might win the pressure fight again, but in this case it would mean taking on the hard shots of a fast knockout puncher.
For another perspective on UFC betting, read here. UFC Vegas 91 Best Bet For this weekend. For the latest information, UFC oddsHead to RotoWire MMA Betting section.
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