The Kings strengthened their perimeter defense a bit late, but still rate as a poor defensive team beyond the arc for the season. In contrast, the Knicks are a team with one of the best 3-point offenses in the league. Let's see below how that informs our angle.
The New York Knicks are almost back to full health and have won two games since returning OG Anunoby to the starting lineup. They will now test their form against an offensive-minded Sacramento Kings team that has won four of five games.
Can New York continue to do well here, or will the NBA odds allow the Kings to outscore a quality opponent once again as the home favorite?
Let's dive right in with a detailed Knicks vs. Knicks preview and NBA picks for Saturday, March 16th.
Knicks vs. Kings odds
Knicks vs Kings prediction
First, the New York Knicks have proven to be a great team on the road this season. With a record of 17-14 straight up and 16-13-2 against the spread, he has always brought the best no matter the venue.
This team was one of the hardest to understand a month and a half ago, until OG Anunoby and Julius Randle went down with injuries before the All-Star break, leaving the team in a state of flux. The Knicks managed to stay in the standings, but they lacked the quality seen in the past two games.
That said, this was a special performance for New York compared to the past four games, even though it was a shocking loss to the Sixers on offense. During this time, the Knicks posted an exceptional defensive rating of 90.5, won three of those games, and one of those games was their worst offensive performance of the year by a wide margin.
The good news is that the Sacramento Kings rank 20th in defensive efficiency, but they moved that ranking up to 13th in March after winning five of seven games. The key to success in this regard has been inside, with the 3-point line still responsible for the bulk of the effort at 39% through seven games.
The Knicks have made the majority of their shots from three this season, in fact, the 10th best mark in the league according to Cleaning the Glass, while Sacramento ranks even higher at No. 4. There is. It comes down to who can defend these three better, and the Knicks have been the best team in the NBA this month in that regard.
Sacramento has been good at home this year, dropping 38.2 percent of its looks, but despite some solid play recently, they're shooting just 36 percent this month (per Cleaning the Glass). The Knicks should have the advantage in the matchup, as their offense should not only shine against a porous defense, but now that Anunoby is back with the team, we should see the edge begin to return.
my best bet: Knicks +4 (-110 at Caesars)
Knicks vs Kings same game parlay
Knicks +3.5
Donte DiVincenzo 4+ makes threes.
Domantas Sabonis Answer 19.5 points
We've noted that the Kings continue to struggle with their 3-point line defense, although they've made some improvements in recent games, so here's a look at their defense with New York's top 3-point threat, Donte DiVincenzo. I think I'll try to attack the biggest weakness.
The Villanova product's shooting output has never been in question this season, and even with Anunoby's return, he has taken 17 shots from deep over the past two games. These aren't the gaudy numbers we've seen with the Knicks' incredibly shorthanded side, but you can still expect him to shoot well enough to tip the scales in a great matchup. Just a few weeks ago, he would have been doomed to get this line to hit four triples. And now that he's going through a brief five-game shooting slump, he has a chance to redeem himself against bad perimeter defense.
Next up, they're going to shortstop Domantas Sabonis, who had a tough 17 points against the Lakers' excellent interior defense. The Knicks have been at the top of the league in rim defense by a significant margin this month, and have been a top-five team in that area for most of the season. Given that the path to victory here is beyond the arc, I think we'll see Sabonis score a lot less and his points drop.
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Knicks vs. Kings spread and over/under analysis
The story about this line is very simple. Bettors are flocking to the Kings on a hot winning streak, taking them from 2-2.5 point favorites at the opener and pushing them up to 3 points early Saturday before the line is at 3.5 and 4 points in some shops. It jumped up to .
The total movement was a little funky at first, starting at 220.5 and briefly moving up to 221, but then steadily dropping to the current 217.
As you can imagine, the DraftKings split is pretty lopsided. Just 26% of tickets and his 25% of spread funds are going to the Knicks, and that line accounts for a whopping 67% of handles while just 44% of bets on the under are in favor .
Knicks vs. Kings betting trends you need to know
The New York Knicks have gone under game total in 32 of their last 41 games (+22.10 units / 49% ROI). See more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Kings.
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Knicks vs. Kings match information
position: | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California |
date: | Saturday, March 16, 2024 |
Tips: | 10:00 PM (EST) |
tv set: | MSG, NBCS-California |
Knicks vs. Kings Latest Injuries
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