nova space We expect standardization to promote democratization and facilitate rapid technological evolution of optical communications and markets. Government-backed standardization efforts, such as the SDA program, are being implemented to reduce costs and enable greater adoption of currently still expensive laser communications technology.
Several major companies are ready to enter the market. space x He has already announced his intentions. However, some players may not comply with major laser communication standards.
Over the next 10 years, laser communication terminal (LCT) is expected to be developed internally by existing NGSO) constellation operators such as SpaceX, thereby creating their own standards. star linkAmazon's kuiper and king. Many of these laser terminals facilitate intersatellite links, thereby enhancing NGSO constellation capabilities.
This segment is expected to grow to nearly 46,200 in-orbit units by 2032 and reach approximately $800 million in annual market revenue. However, the closed market created by major players poses a challenge for external LCT manufacturers, limiting access to the market. Nevertheless, the remaining open market is projected to reach approximately 7,300 units in orbit by 2032, with annual market revenues of $115 million.
Latest from Novaspace Optical communication market Over the next decade, the report predicts that the optical communications market will be driven by constellations rather than single satellites. Revenue growth is expected to accelerate in the coming years, with market revenue expected to plateau in 2028. Laser terminals may need to explore other sources to sustain growth and development.
“As laser communications promise enhanced capabilities, standardization becomes more important to maintain market expansion and market access.” Said Managing Consultant Xavier Lancel.
Alternative laser terminal applications are expected to emerge, such as data relay services facilitated by laser links between space systems, and more than 750 LCTs are predicted to be in orbit by the end of the decade. This requires a high degree of standardization to enable communication between different systems.
new applications etc. Direct connection to the earth (DTE) Laser communications has a promising future, despite the need to overcome physical constraints such as atmospheric disturbances and high cost. DTE laser communications, the technology that makes this possible quantum key distribution (QKD) capabilities are expected to become commercially available towards the end of the next decade, and the number of units in orbit could reach 430 by 2032.
Optical communications is expected to enable faster, more reliable, and more secure data transmission in a variety of applications, including telecommunications. The optical communications market is currently in the standardization phase, playing a key role in driving the advancement and adoption of these emerging technologies, enabling seamless integration into existing infrastructure and facilitating the development of new applications and services. To do.
As major players begin to integrate into the market, standardization will ensure operability and scalability. Market revenue increases will reflect this new investment and development. Many technologies are still in the development stage and challenges are expected before full adoption.
