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Online sportsbooks around the world have begun posting Olympic swimming odds, and while most of them are in line with the average swimming fan's odds, one stands out as a worthy option.
Australia Kayleigh McKeon Some European sportsbooks offer the 200m backstroke at -200 odds, while in the United States Regan Smith It is given odds of +175.
World record holder McKean is the current world record holder and swimmer of SwimSwam. Anya Pershaw I agreed with the bookmakers that McKeown was the favourite to win and the official preview predicted the Australian to win.
But the size of the gap is attracting attention in what is expected to be one of the most exciting and competitive races on the Olympic schedule.
For those unfamiliar with sports betting, -200 odds mean that if you bet $100 and McKeown wins, you’ll get $100 back plus an additional $50.
Professional gamblers don't pick winners, but instead look for bets that have a “positive expected value,” or a higher probability of winning than the odds set by the sportsbook.
Based on the odds, you have to think that McKeon has at least a two-thirds chance of winning. If you think that McKeon has a two-thirds chance of winning, then this is a neutral choice in terms of expectation. You want something with positive expectation.
But if Smith wins, she will get her original $100 refunded and an additional $175. Smith is also a former world record holder, and her season's best is about one-seventh of a second slower than McKeon's, but Smith's time did not come at the U.S. Olympic Trials.
If you think Smith has a greater than 36% chance of winning, then this selection has a positive expected value.
The two are far ahead of the rest. Kylie Masse If Canada wins, odds are 11 to 1, and the same goes for the United States. Phoebe Bacon.
So, once again, McKeon is the obvious favorite to win, but Smith, who has been in good form since setting the 200m backstroke world record at the 2019 World Championships, seems the obvious favorite with a 36% expectation.
200 back odds from a UK based online sportsbook:
- Kayleigh McKeonAustralia – 1/2
- Regan SmithUnited States – 7/4
- Kylie Masse, Canada – 11/1
- Phoebe Bacon, USA – 11.1
- Jacqueline Barclay, Australia – 14/1
- Shuwei Peng, China – 20/1
- Liu Yaxin, China – 33/1
- Margherita Panziera, Italy – 33/1
- Hanni Oslin, UK – 40/1
- Katie Shanahan, Great Britain – 40/1
- Emma Terebo, France – 50/1
- Anastasia Golubenko, Israel – 80/1
- Camila Rebelo, Portugal – 80/1
- Carmen Weiller-Sastre, Spain – 80/1
- Dora Molnar, Hungary – 100/1
- Africa Zamorano, Spain – 125/1
- Laura Bernat, Poland – 125/1
- Regan Lathwell, Canada – 125/1
- Pauline Matthew, France – 150/1
- Adela Piskorska, Poland – 200/1
- Aviv Barzelay, Israel – 200/1
- Eunji Lee, South Korea – 200/1
How to read the odds: how much you will win/how much you will bet. The left column does not include the amount that will return your original stake if you win.
