Despite Joe Burrow injuring his throwing wrist in Week 11 of last season, the Bengals had Jake Browning at quarterback and scored 25 or more points in four of the season's final seven games. The Bengals lost Joe Mixon but added Zack Moss to the backfield. So, would Moss be a high up in your fantasy football rankings in 2024? Mixon averaged under 4.1 yards per rush over the past five seasons, while Moss averaged above that in four of his five seasons in the NFL. Would Moss be considered a high up in your fantasy football picks in 2024?
It's important to avoid 2024 fantasy football flops while targeting 2024 fantasy football sleepers and 2024 fantasy football breakouts. Before you develop your 2024 fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 fantasy football rankings and cheat sheet from SportsLine's proven computer model.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers wide receiver Rachad White was significantly underrated. White was an average seventh-round pick in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's primary running back, providing more value than expected and ranking fourth at the position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns and added 549 yards and three scores on 64 catches as a receiver. Anyone who followed the model's advice would have landed a weekly starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record of providing fantasy football tips, identifying AJ Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and accurately predicting Jonathan Taylor's phenomenal season in 2021. Additionally, they have predicted past fantasy football sleepers such as Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Those who bet on these players have gone on to win league titles.
The model is run by the same people who create the projections for the three major fantasy sites, and it beat out human experts last season when there was a huge difference in rankings. Our 2024 Fantasy Football PPR Rankings and 2024 Fantasy Football Standard Projections are updated multiple times each day, so you'll always get the best fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest fantasy football rankings for 2024, with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and basses: Visit SportsLine now to see the rankings.
Top Sleepers for Fantasy Football in 2024
One of the model's fantasy football sleepers for 2024 is Chargers running back J.K. Dobbins. The 25-year-old Dobbins just ruptured his Achilles in Week 1 of the season against the Ravens. But Dobbins has found a new home with the Chargers, and after Austin Ekeler left Los Angeles for Washington, Dobbins may be asked to take on the most important role of his career. Dobbins spent his first three seasons with the Ravens, who often fielded running backs by committee alongside elite rushing quarterback Lamar Jackson.
Dobbins joins his former Ravens teammate Gus Edwards on the Chargers. Justin Herbert can run, but he's no Lamar Jackson, so these running backs should be given ample opportunities. Coach Jim Harbaugh returns to the NFL with the Chargers this season, and his 49ers ranked fourth in rushing in the NFL when he was last the head coach. Dobbins' rushing average of 5.8 yards per carry in Baltimore compared to Edwards' 4.9 yards per carry makes it likely that Dobbins will take over as the lead back in an offense that has produced elite fantasy football plays from the running back position for the past few seasons. Click here to see more 2024 fantasy football sleepers.
Top fantasy football breakouts for 2024
The model also projects Cardinals wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. to be a fantasy football breakout prospect in 2024. Harrison, the No. 4 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, is the first non-quarterback draft pick this year, as expected. The son of NFL Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison, Harrison recorded more than 1,200 yards receiving and 14 touchdowns in each of his final two seasons at Ohio State. With his father being one of the best wide receivers in NFL history, the 6-foot-3 wide receiver has been training for the NFL since birth and has proven at Ohio State that he is more than just a household name.
Harrison recorded 100+ yards receiving in 8 of 12 games last season, often playing his best against top teams. He scored at least one touchdown in 10 of 12 games and had 3 games with 160+ yards. With Marquise Brown signing with the Chiefs, the rookie is expected to be the team's WR1 right away, and Harrison is the team's most naturally gifted wide receiver. The Cardinals may find themselves giving up big leads frequently. As a result, Kyler Murray will have to throw passes to Harrison and look for him to get a pass often, making Harrison a prime candidate for a 2024 fantasy football breakout. For more on 2024 fantasy football breakouts, click here.
Top fantasy football blunders for 2024
As for players to avoid, the model lists Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa as one of the big fantasy football busts for 2024. Tagovailoa entered the 2023 season with health concerns after multiple concussions in 2022, but was fifth among QBs in fantasy scoring through the season's first eight weeks. He struggled after that, ranking 20th among QBs after Week 9 with just 245.3 passing yards and 1.2 touchdown passes per game.
Tagovailoa hasn't added rushing value and hasn't proven he can maintain a high level over the course of a season. He had never completed a 17-game NFL schedule until last year, and even then, he struggled to produce consistent results. SportsLine's model recommends staying away from Tagovailoa, who is overvalued in our 2024 fantasy football ADP data. Click Here to See More 2024 Fantasy Football Busters
How to Find Proven Fantasy Football Rankings for 2024
SportsLine is also very high on a surprise quarterback who no one thought would be selected in the middle of fantasy football drafts in 2024. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top 10 prospect, ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. Find out who these quarterbacks are, plus each player's 2023 fantasy football rankings, only at SportsLine.
So which sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade in fantasy football in 2024, and which QB will shock the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to find out the answers with a cheat sheet for every 2024 fantasy football position from the model that labeled Deebo Samuel a bust last year.
