On April 17, 2024, exactly 100 days before the Paris Olympics Opening Ceremony, Nielsen Gracenote released its latest Virtual Medal Table (VMT) predictions for the 2024 Olympics. Gracenote has predicted the number of gold, silver and bronze medals for participating countries and athletes for the 33rd Olympic Games, taking into account the results data available from major world and continental competitions from the 2021 Summer Games onwards. This forecast will be updated monthly from now until the opening ceremony of the Paris Olympics.
Almost all players from Russia and Belarus were withdrawn from international competitions.
Competitions will begin in February 2022. Without results in this period, he cannot accurately predict which players will take part in Paris 2024. However, participation from these athletes appears to be limited and the virtual medal table is expected to accurately reflect the NOC as usual based on the data we have.
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According to Gracenote's VMT predictions, the United States is expected to win the most medals overall at the 2024 Paris 2024 Games (123). If Team USA lives up to these expectations, it will be at the top of the medal standings at the Summer Games for the eighth consecutive year.
China is expected to finish second in total medals, but should compete for first place with the United States for gold. China is currently expected to win 89 medals, matching the country's medal total at the Tokyo Games two years ago. The expected number of gold medals, 35, will be slightly lower than China's total of 38 three years ago.
Great Britain is expected to perform similarly to last Olympics, with Gracenote VMT predicting Britain will win two more medals than the 64 they won in Tokyo. However, the number of gold medals could be significantly lower as the British team is expected to win 13 gold medals at the Paris Games.
Host country France should significantly increase its total medal tally compared to the 33 medals it won at the Tokyo Games. According to the virtual medal table, France ranks third in the number of gold medals won after the United States and China, and the total of 28 gold medals is expected to be far behind France's medal total at the previous Olympics.
Australia is expected to finish fifth in total medals. His 50 medals, predicted by the Gracenote Virtual Medal Table, would be the most for the country in 20 years, since he won exactly that number in Athens in 2004.
Russia and Belarusian athlete
Accurately assessing the potential performance of athletes participating in Paris 2024 as individual neutral athletes, as Russian and Belarusian athletes have been banned from international competition in almost all Olympic sports since February 2022. is not possible without competing more or less normally. For example, tennis players from both countries. However, the number of competitors from these countries will likely be severely limited in Paris, so the Gracenote virtual medal table is an accurate representation of the current situation given the data we have.
Top 5 medal winning countries
(Paris 2024 predictions: 123 medals, Tokyo 2020: 113)
The United States is once again expected to top the virtual medal table at the Paris Summer Games. Gracenote's current medal count is 123, which is 10 more medals than Team USA claims in 2021. If achieved, this total would be the highest medal total for the United States since the boycotted 1984 Los Angeles Olympics. The U.S. team's virtual medal table projects medals in 27 different sports, two sports fewer than his country's own Olympic record of 29 sports set in Tokyo. Track and field and swimming remain the keys to success, with just under half of the United States' medals expected to be won in her two sports.
(2024 Paris: 89th place, 2020 Tokyo: 89th place)
At the Tokyo Olympics, China recovered from its lowest total of 70 medals at the Rio Olympics since 2004. Current Gracenote projections, based on the performances recorded by Chinese players, suggest that China will perform similarly to three years ago. Diving, shooting, swimming, weightlifting, table tennis, gymnastics and badminton are China's main medal-winning sports, with Chinese athletes in the top three in 21 sports, according to VMT. China's projected total of 35 gold medals means it could threaten the United States' status as the country with the most gold medals at the Paris Games.
(2024 Paris: 66th place, 2020 Tokyo: 64th place)
The Gracenote virtual medal table for Paris 2024 suggests Britain can maintain its 60-plus medal record for a fourth consecutive Summer Olympics. Britain's success in the last three Olympics has been built on having medal winners in at least 20 sports, and her current VMT predictions suggest this trend will continue. Prior to the 2012 Olympic Games, her 1908 London Games was the only time Britain had won medals in at least 20 sports, a marked departure from the Olympic era.
(2024 Paris: 55th place, 2020 Tokyo: 33rd place)
Current predictions are that host France will significantly increase its medal total, with almost triple the number of gold medals compared to the Tokyo Olympics. France's Summer Olympic success has been achieved in 15 to 19 different sports at each Olympics this century, but medals are now expected in 25 different sports, a new record for France. At the 2024 Paris Games, France is expected to host her best Olympic Games since 1900.
(2024 Paris: 50 pieces, 2020 Tokyo: 46 pieces)
After disappointing 2012 and 2016 Olympics, Australia will look to improve again in 2021, winning more than 40 medals for the sixth time in the past eight Olympics. If Australia wins 50 medals as currently expected, it will be their best Olympic result since Athens in 2004. Achieving this will depend on the success of the swim team.
Countries ranked 6th to 10th in the virtual medal table
(2024 Paris: 49th place, 2020 Tokyo: 58th place)
After achieving a record performance at the Tokyo Olympics, Japan is expected to fall short of its performance at the Paris Games. In Gracenote's latest virtual medal table, the Japanese team has won nine fewer medals than he did three years ago. The number of gold medals Japan could win is expected to be halved, from 27 to 13. They are expected to win medals in 17 sports, far short of the Japanese record of 21 medals at the Tokyo 2020 Games.
(2024 Paris prediction: 47 people, 2020 Tokyo prediction: 40 people)
Italy had its best Olympic performance ever in Tokyo, but Gracenote's virtual medal table predicts an even better performance at the 2024 Paris Olympics. Buoyed by a potential record-breaking performance in the pool, Italy is expected to win a record 47 medals in 21 events, six more than in 2024. In Tokyo. Italy may also approach its 40-year record of 14 gold medals, set at the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics. VMT predicts Italy will win the eighth-most gold medals after the United States, China and France. Netherlands, UK, Australia, Japan.
(2024 Paris: 38th place, 2020 Tokyo: 36th place)
Two years after their best performance at the Summer Olympics in Tokyo, the Dutch team is expected to do the same in Paris next year, perhaps setting a new record. In four of the past six Olympics, the Netherlands has won medals in between 11 and 13 sports, and the 2024 Summer Olympics looks set to be similar. However, this year's success is largely down to her three sports. rowing, cycling, track and field.
(2024 Paris: 36th place, 2020 Tokyo: 37th place)
Germany's medal total has declined in six of the seven Summer Olympics since reunification, with London's only 2012 Games providing a respite. That trend could continue at the 2024 Paris Games, with Gracenote's virtual medal table predicting his 36 medals, one less than in Tokyo. German teams are expected to win medals in just 18 sports, the second fewest since reunification after the 2012 London Olympics and the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. VMT predicts that Germany will no longer dominate certain sports, and that the German team will only win four medals in 2016. One sport.
(Paris 2024: 24 people, Tokyo 2020: 20 people)
The 2020 Tokyo Olympics was a disappointing Olympics for South Korea. The 20 medals, including six golds, were the lowest total since the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics, when they won 19 and six, respectively. The prospects for the 2024 Paris Games are looking good, with South Korean athletes expected to win 24 medals, including nine golds. This is South Korea's best performance at the Olympics since 2012.
Virtual medal table 11-20
Virtual medal table 21-30
About Gracenote Virtual Medal Table
Gracenote Virtual Medal Table is a statistical model based on individual and team performance at past Olympics, World Championships, and World Cups that predicts each country's most likely gold, silver, and bronze medal winners. . This information is delivered in easy-to-understand forecasts and seamless data feeds, so broadcasters, media publishers and pay-TV operators can create their own Olympic-focused stories across their web, mobile and broadcast properties. Can be delivered.
About Gracenote
Gracenote is Nielsen's Content Solutions business unit, providing entertainment metadata, content ID and related products to the world's leading creators, distributors and platforms. Gracenote technology enables advanced content navigation and discovery capabilities, making it easy for consumers to connect to the music, TV shows, movies, and sports they love, while providing powerful content analytics to solve complex business problems. simplifies decision-making.
About Nielsen
Nielsen is a global leader in audience measurement, data and analytics that shapes the world's media and content. By understanding people and their behavior across all channels and platforms, we provide our clients with independent, actionable intelligence to connect and engage with their audiences now and in the future. Nielsen operates in more than 55 countries around the world. Learn more at www.nielsen.com and connect with us on social media: Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, and Instagram.
